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The importance of data for betting on the NBA

The importance of data for betting on the NBA
Some datan is essential to be evaluated before placing an NBA bet.
by Academia   |   comments 0
Thursday, November 18 2021

Gathering as much information as possible about a match is a good way to increase your chances of winning a bet, but this is not an absolute guarantee of success, especially in the NBA, where many factors influence the final result. Still, some data is essential for the player to be on the inside, as they give great direction when choosing their favorite in a given event.

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In basketball, the main markets for betting are concentrated between Handicaps and Point Totals, in addition to the traditional Moneyline, which consists of choosing the winner of the game, regardless of the points difference.

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But what statistics and data should we collect to have chances of winning in these markets?
 
The bettor has to understand that the NBA is divided into regular season and playoffs. During a few months, all teams play an average of 82 matches in the first part of the competition, where in many matches there will be injuries, preserved players, games without great interests, specific strategies, etc. If we say that at the end of the season some losses can even be “interesting”, you can call us crazy, but that's true. So you bet with the confidence that a certain outcome will occur and you're faced with a very different game. That's why some data cannot go unnoticed.
 
Before mentioning some basic data to be studied before a match, the answer to the curiosity of the above paragraph is: because the worst ranked teams in an edition have preference when choosing the Draft, which is the system to bring the best college players to the NBA, some extremely skilled and successful careers in the world's top league. As teams no longer have a chance of qualifying for the playoffs, they often end up underperforming, simply to have the preference to pick the best young players in the next Draft.
 
If you want to start with the basics, it is important to make an overview of these advantages of the franchises, both for the team in general, and also for the individual performance, at least of the main players, capable of unbalancing a game.
 
Points, assists, stolen balls, blocks and rebounds, whether defensive or offensive, are standard stats to measure in a basketball game. Going a little further, it is essential to know the use of two-point and three-point shots from the franchises, as this is a big difference in the final result of a duel and the use of a team's entire season.
 
In recent decades, the emphasis on three-point shots has increased a lot, to the point where teams have specialized athletes in this regard. And that's no wonder, as they are directly responsible for the team's victories. If at the end of the season we look for the statistics of all the franchises, it is very likely that the champion had the best performance, while the teams that had the worst campaigns had much lower performance. And knowing which players from each team have the vocation for these moves is an important fact to have, as naturally they will be able to be out of the match and totally change the direction of your team's result.
 
In addition, apart from the basics, it is important to search for data named “turnover”. This data informs players and teams' faulty plays, such as poor passing, losing the ball before finishing the play, not successfully completing the time limit, etc. A specific team or athlete has a high turnover, it can mean the existence of a team with failures or a drop in performance. Obviously, one game or another is not a parameter, as even the stars fail, but if the data show that it is something recurrent in the season, it becomes a decisive factor when choosing a bet.

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