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Italy Portugal betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

The most likely scenario is to have a well-balanced, low-scoring game. Both Portugal and Italy have managed to hold the opposing team's attacks very well in the last games. Our suggestion for this game is the Under 2.5 goals.
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Preview
Italy and Portugal face at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, in a match for this stage of the UEFA Nations League (League A). In 2 head‑to‑heads in the last 3 years, the away team won 2. Portugal registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.

Analysis Italy

After 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss, the home team is currently in the 2nd position, with 4 points won. In the last match, they have won (0‑1) in an away match against Poland, after in the previous round they have lost (1‑0) in an away match against Portugal. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 29 goals scored and 9 conceded. In the last 10 home matches Italy has won 5 and tied 5. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

The Azzura squad has changed its tactical formation from a 4-4-2 to a 4-3-3, being that in this competition has bet more times in the last, where it privileges the style of direct football. For this match stand out the absences of Milan defender Romagnoli, player who was important in the game against Portugal and Federico Bernardeschi, Juventus's player, for muscle problems. The home team's most advanced players will be Chiesa, Insigne and Immobile.

Confirmed Lineup: Gianluigi Donnarumma, Leonardo Bonucci, Cristiano Biraghi, Alessandro Florenzi, Giorgio Chiellini, Marco Verratti, Nicolò Barella, Jorginho, Ciro Immobile, Federico Chiesa, Lorenzo Insigne.

Analysis Portugal

The away team is currently in the 1st position, with 6 points won, after 2 wins. In the penultimate round, they have won a home match agaisnt Italy by (1‑0). In the last round, they have won an away match against Poland by (2‑3). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 29 goals scored and 12 conceded; against 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 27 goals scored and 15 conceded. In their last match, for the Friendlies, they got an away win against Scotland by (1‑3). In the last 10 away matches Portugal has won 7, tied 2 and lost 1. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 6 times but have turned the score around in 2. In the last 10 away matches for all competitions there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 7 of their 19 goals between minutes (31'‑45'); they have conceded 3 of their 6 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

With the absence of Cristiano Ronaldo, Bernardo Silva has gained an important role in the attack of Portugal. The Manchester City forward has a lot of technical quality, and the ease of variation of the wing is visible for more interior areas. João Cancelo and Pepe have excelled in the defense, the first by the depth that gives in the right aisle, combined with Bernardo Silva and the second by the security that offers to the team, as much for its tackles as for the importance that it has in the aerial game. Pizzi, of the 11 chosen, is the player with less prominence, since the Benfica player has been very erased. Coach Fernando Santos usually plays in a 4-3-3, preferring a possession game, the most advanced players in the away team's line-up will be Rafa Silva, Bernardo Silva and André Silva. In the midfield should play Pizzi, Rúben Neves and William.

Confirmed Lineup: Rui Patrício, João Cancelo, Mário Rui, José Fonte, Rúben Dias, Pizzi, Rúben Neves, William Carvalho, Bruma, Bernardo Silva, André Silva.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Italy vs Portugal match, on 17 November 2018, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy UK, goes to: Under 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on williamhill.

The Italy vs Portugal on 17 November 2018 will be played at Milano, Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy UK, for the Italy Portugal match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Portugal at with 40% of the tips.

 

UEFA Nations League - 2018/2019

  • 100% 142 / 142 Games

  • Home team wins 49.3%
  • Draws 23.24%
  • Away team wins 27.46%
  • Over 1.5 70.42%
  • Over 2.5 41.55%
  • Over 3.5 20.42%
  • Goals 340
  • Goals /match 2.39
  • Goals /match home 1.45
  • Goals /match away 0.94
  • Both teams score 40.14%
  • Goals after 80' 15.29%
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