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Italy Albania betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This confrontation tends to be somewhat unbalanced, considering that the client has a cast of great quality and fight for the first place in Group G, while the visitor has only a medium cast and has very remote chances of winning a spot in the next World Cup. In addition, Italy have a strong offensive system and, in addition, often suffer few goals, while on the other hand, Albania has deficiencies both in attack and defense. Given the technical disparity between the two teams and the fact that Italy play at home, we believe that the host will take the victory by a good margin of goals.
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Preview
Italy and Albania face , in a match for this stage of the WC Qualification Europe (1st Round). The only recent head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 18‑11‑2014, and ended in a (1‑0) win by Italy. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Italy

The home team is currently in the 2nd position, with 10 points won, after 3 wins and 1 draw. In the penultimate round, they have won an away match against FYR Macedonia by (2‑3). In the last round, they have won an away match against Liechtenstein by (0‑4). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 31 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 16 goals scored and 11 conceded. They come to this match after a home draw against Germany by (0‑0). Italy has won 4, tied 4 and lost 2 of the last 10 home matches.

They haven’t lost any of the last 4 matches for this competition. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 3 of the last 4 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 4 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for few goals, since 7 of the last 15 matches have ended with Under 1,5 goals and 12 out of 15 have ended with Under 2,5 goals. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 5 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 15 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Italy have played well in the qualifiers for the World Cup in Russia and are among the top Group G players with 83% of the points played and are not a leader since they lose in the tiebreaker criteria for Spain. The team scored 11 goals, being the second best attack of their group, and conceded 4 goals, having the second defense less leaked and these figures demonstrate the good balance between the offensive and defensive sectors, but there is still scope to adjust defensively to suffer less goals, since the main characteristic of the Italian defenses in history are solid defenses that undergo very few goals. Playing as principal, as the match they will make this Friday, Italy made only 1 match where it was in the 1-1 draw with Spain in match where it was inferior both in possession of the ball and in the number of finalizations, but behaved well defensively to hold the pressure of the rival and ensure at least 1 point. Overall in the competition, the Italian team tends to be more efficient offensively in the first half, with 7 of their 11 goals coming in the first round, but it is between 75 and 90 minutes that they rocked the net more often with 4 goals scored. The highlight of the call of Coach Gian Piero Ventura is the young striker Andrea Belotti, who at just 23 years of age, is the top scorer of the Italian Championship.

Confirmed Lineup: Gianluigi Buffon, Davide Zappacosta, Mattia De Sciglio, Andrea Barzagli, Leonardo Bonucci, Antonio Candreva, Marco Verratti, Ciro Immobile, Andrea Belotti, Lorenzo Insigne.
Coach: D. De Rossi, L. Spalletti.

Analysis Albania

The away team is currently in the 4th position, with 6 points won, after 2 wins and 2 losses. In the penultimate round, they have lost a home match against Spain by (0‑2). In the last round, they have lost a home match against Israel by (0‑3). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with 17 goals scored and 7 conceded; against 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses at their stadium, with 14 goals scored and 19 conceded. Their last away match for this competition ended in a win by (0‑2) against Liechtenstein. In the last 7 away matches Albania has won 4, tied 1 and lost 2. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 3 of the last 4 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

Albania have been meditating in qualifying for the next World Cup and are in the middle of their group's qualifying table with 50% of the points played so far, and in a group with Italy and Spain it is highly unlikely that they will fight for a place, and left to play in a dignified way. The team scored 4 goals, being the second worst attack of Group G, and conceded 6 goals, having the third defense more leaked and these figures demonstrate that neither the offensive system nor the defensive one has worked with quality, being necessary to adjust in both the sectors. Playing as a visitor, as their match on Friday, Albania made only 1 game and won the fragile selection of Lichtenstein by 2 to 0 in a match where they were superior from the beginning, took advantage of the major shortcomings of the principal and secured the 3 points without difficulties. In the overall competition, the team scored 2 goals in the first half and another 2 in the second stage and between 0 and 15 minutes is the period that most rocked the networks with 2 goals scored.

Confirmed Lineup: Thomas Strakosha, Elseid Hysaj, Ansi Agolli, Frédéric Veseli, Arlind Ajeti, Burim Kukeli, Migjen Basha, Ledian Memushaj, Andi Lila, Odise Roshi, Sokol Cikalleshi.
Coach: E. Reja.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Italy vs Albania match, on 24 March 2017, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy UK, goes to: Asian Handicap, Italy -1.5 ⇒ bet available on betfair.

The Italy vs Albania on 24 March 2017 will be played at Palermo, Stadio Renzo Barbera.

 

WC Qualification Europe - 2018 Russia

  • 100% 278 / 278 Games

  • Home team wins 47.48%
  • Draws 18.71%
  • Away team wins 33.81%
  • Over 1.5 74.82%
  • Over 2.5 51.8%
  • Over 3.5 34.53%
  • Goals 807
  • Goals /match 2.9
  • Goals /match home 1.65
  • Goals /match away 1.25
  • Both teams score 37.05%
  • Goals after 80' 17.97%
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