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Moreirense Tondela betting prediction
 Moreirense |
|  Tondela |
Betting suggestion:
Moreirense, eager to secure victories in their home games, has been exposing themselves more, which has contributed to matches in which they have regularly conceded goals. This happened against Benfica (4), Famalicão, and FC Porto, conceding 2 goals at home in one of those matches, and also 1 goal when hosting Casa Pia and Rio Ave. Therefore, expecting Moreirense to once again take control of the game, this is likely to be another match with 2 or more goals, and most probably with both teams scoring. Even so, Moreirense should be able to secure at least 1 point.
Preview
Moreirense and Tondela face at Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, in a match for the 16th round of the Primeira Liga. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 3 head‑to‑heads they won 2 and lost 1. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Segunda Liga, on 29‑04‑2023, Moreirense won by (2‑1). Platiny (90' ) and André Luis (47' ) scored for Moreirense and Cuba (29' ) for Tondela. Tondela registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.
Analysis Moreirense
The home team faces Tondela, in a match for the 16 round, which had been delayed, after 7 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in the league so far. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 21 conceded; against 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 23 goals scored and 23 conceded. In the last 7 home league matches Moreirense has a record of 4 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, so they have won 13 points out of 21 possible. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 1‑1 (3 out of 7 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 14 of the last 16 have ended with Over 1,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 6 of their 16 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 16 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 9 of their 23 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
Moreirense, despite no longer performing at the level seen in the first 10 rounds, remain competitive and are positioned in the top half of the table, specifically in 7th place. After a less impressive phase, which saw them record 2 draws and 2 defeats, the team managed to collect 4 points in the last two rounds. The draw at Estrela was a positive result in a game where Moreirense kept a clean sheet, followed by a 0-2 victory away at AFS. Moreirense are now once again looking to respond well and will aim to confirm their good form in this home match against Tondela.
Confirmed Lineup: Caio Gobbo Secco, Jóbson de Brito Gonzaga, Michel Augusto Modesto Rafael dos Santos, Travassos, Álvaro Martínez Navarro, Afonso Assis Cunha Almeida, Alan de Souza Guimarães, Rodrigo Alonso Martín, Cedric Wilfried Teguia Noubi, Luís Semedo, Francisco Miguel Ribeiro Tomé Tavares Bondoso.
Coach: C. Bacci.
Analysis Tondela
The away team faces Moreirense, in a match for the 16 round, which had been delayed, after 3 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in the league so far. This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 23 conceded; against 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses at their stadium, with 15 goals scored and 20 conceded. Their last away match for this competition ended in a loss by (3‑1) against Nacional. In the last 8 away league matches Tondela has a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses, so they have won 7 points out of 24 possible. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 2‑0 (3 out of 8 matches) and after the 90' 3‑0 (3 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 6 of the last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have only turned the score around in 1.
Tondela, under the guidance of C. Bacci, secured an important 3-1 victory over Arouca in the last round. The win was widely celebrated, and understandably so, as the team had been lacking ideas even after the managerial change by the club’s board. Nevertheless, this result is just a “drop in the ocean,” given the poor outcomes in recent rounds, with Tondela having suffered 3 consecutive defeats. Still, in their last 5 away matches, including League Cup and Portuguese Cup games, Tondela won 2 and scored in matches against Nacional (3-1), Gil Vicente (0-1), and AFS (2-2).
Confirmed Lineup: Bernardo, Bebeto, Nor Maviram, Brayan Medina, Christian Marques, Cícero, Juanse, Hugo Félix, Joe Hodge, Jordan, Maranhão.
Coach: C. Bacci.
Frequently asked questions
👉 Which is the recommended bet for the Moreirense Tondela match?
The tip and bet suggestion for the Moreirense vs Tondela match, on 11 January 2026, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy UK, goes to: Both teams score? Yes ⇒ bet available on 1xbet.
👉 In which stadium will the Moreirense Tondela be played?
The Moreirense vs Tondela on 11 January 2026 will be played at Moreira de Cónegos, Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas.
👉 Which is the most voted bet for this match?
The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy UK, for the Moreirense Tondela match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Moreirense at with 93% of the tips.
Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga - 2025/2026
- 53% 162 / 307 Games
- Home team wins 37.65%
- Draws 25.93%
- Away team wins 36.42%
- Over 1.5 75.93%
- Over 2.5 52.47%
- Over 3.5 30.25%
- Goals 437
- Goals /match 2.7
- Goals /match home 1.41
- Goals /match away 1.28
- Both teams score 45.06%
- Goals after 80' 16.02%
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