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Cerro Defensor Sporting betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

Even playing away from home, Defensor Sporting are in better form than Cerro and should play a safer, more objective game. However, Cerro's defensive difficulties and Defensor's good attacking form could make for a busier encounter than usual. Given their defensive instability, the best bet is for both teams to score.
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Preview
Cerro and Def. Sporting face at Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli, in a match for the 11th round of the Primera División. The head‑to‑head record at this stadium couldn't be more balanced, as it shows 3 draws in the last 3 head‑to‑heads. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Primera División, was on 07‑09‑2024, they tied (1‑1). Santiago Ramirez (6' ) scored for Cerro and Walter Montoya (89' ) for Def. Sporting. Both teams register significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth atention.

Analysis Cerro

After 8 wins, 11 draws and 13 losses, the home team is in the 9th position, havinf won 13 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Atlético Progreso by (2‑0), after in the previous match they have won (0‑1) an away match against Wanderers. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 11 goals scored and 25 conceded; against 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 16 goals scored and 17 conceded. For the league, Cerro won 17 points out of 30 possible points, after 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 10 home matches. In their home league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 1‑0 (5 out of 14 matches). In 32 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 14 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

Cerro were unable to maintain the level of performance they had been showing, and their recent momentum was halted by Progreso in the previous round. In a balanced game, the team conceded two goals that exposed defensive weaknesses and interrupted their positive run. The defeat served as a wake-up call: they'll need to adjust their marking and transitions to get back to their previous rhythm. The team knows it can't afford to falter again, especially in decisive matches. The mission now is to regain confidence and collective balance, turning the setback into fuel for the next challenge in the Clausura.

Confirmed Lineup: R. Bacchia, Mathías Suárez, Ivan Valenzuela, Nicolas Fuica, Sebastián Cáceres Carranza, Matias Ocampo, Alejo Macelli, E. Sosa, I. Neira, Enzo Larrosa, S. Paiva.
Coach: T. Silva Aguilar.

Analysis Def. Sporting

The away team is currently in the 6th position of the league, with 16 points won, after 15 wins, 11 draws and 6 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Miramar Misiones, by (0‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against Wanderers, by (2‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in away matches, with 10 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses at their stadium, with 23 goals scored and 14 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Def. Sporting has a record of 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 11 points out of 30 possible. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (8 out of 15 matches). In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 7 of the last 15 matches for this competition have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. In 32 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 12 times but have turned the score around in 4.

Defensor Sporting come into this round of the Clausura on the back of a good run of form, but with a certain amount of apprehension. Most of their recent defeats have come away from home, revealing difficulties in maintaining consistency away from home. The team knows it will need maximum concentration and tactical intelligence to avoid repeating mistakes. Adjustments in marking and precision in finishing will be key to turning the good momentum into a solid result against Cerro. Playing with discipline and confidence will be the key to meeting the challenge and remaining competitive in the race for the top of the table.

Confirmed Lineup: Kevin Dawson, Guillermo de los Santos , Juan Viacava, Nahuel Furtado, Patricio Pacífico , Nicolás Wunsch, Germán Barrios, Lucas de los Santos , José Álvarez, Alexander Machado, Lucas Agazzi .
Coach: I. Ithurralde Sáez.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Cerro vs Def. Sporting match, on 12 October 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy UK, goes to: Both teams score? Yes ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Cerro vs Def. Sporting on 12 October 2025 will be played at Montevideo, Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli.

 

Primera División - 2025

  • 100% 299 / 300 Games

  • Home team wins 35.45%
  • Draws 37.12%
  • Away team wins 27.42%
  • Over 1.5 66.89%
  • Over 2.5 42.81%
  • Over 3.5 21.4%
  • Goals 696
  • Goals /match 2.33
  • Goals /match home 1.27
  • Goals /match away 1.06
  • Both teams score 48.49%
  • Goals after 80' 19.25%
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