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Horse Betting - we're on track! WRONGED


Horse Betting - we're on track! WRONGED

This is a horse betting analysis and suggestion article. We don't intend to point out the winners every time, our goal is to suggest positive expected value bets in the long term.

Today's bets: Newmarket - Race 6 - 8:30 (UK time)

They are two good value choices in the same race with different betting options:

  • Trading Punches, a winner at 7f on good to soft ground. Well beaten at 8-1 behind Mutahaady when last of 9 on his latest outing at Epsom over 7f (good) in September last year. Its shape has a clear appeal for a soft floor. Given the high price for this horse in a complicated race, I think it is worth an investment, because there is a great chance it can come very close to winning this race.
  • Fire Brigade was a winner at 7f on the all-weather and third of 11 behind Blue On Blue beaten 1/2l at 9-1 on his latest outing at Yarmouth over 7f (good to firm) last month. It comes very strong for this race and has Silvestre de Sousa on the mount, to make his future performance even more solid.

I believe that both horses, having their similar preferences, should do very well in this race. Moreover, their prices seem very high, so I suggest a bet on both, but protect the E/W bet in one of the selections.

Visit Bet365 and place your bets!

Betting Suggestions:

 
Race: Newmarket - Race 6 - 8:30 (UK time)
Bet: Trading Punches - E/W (Bet365) @41
Stake: 1 Unit

Race: Newmarket - Race 6 - 8:30 (UK time)
Bet: Fire Brigade - Winner (Betfair) @7.5
Stake: 1 Unit


 

Warning!

Betting suggestions presented in this column are punter in nature.
We don't intend to guess the winner every time. Our goal is to look for investment opportunities in bets we believe have positive expected value, meaning long term profit is to be expected. Therefore, we are not responsible for any losses you may have following our suggestions.

Moreover, horse racing markets are very volatile, so a good bank management strategy is fundamental, even more so than in football markets.

Our suggestions are usually for the Winner, E/W and Podium markets, but in some cases we may suggest multiple bets. Check the rules of these markets by reading the following article: «Horse racing market types».

This column features a specific and professional bank management strategy, based in units.

Bets suggested in this column have investment values from 1 to 4, depending on the reliability and value of the bet. This concept is similar to the well-known division of the stake in: Small, 1/3 of the unit, Mid, half unit, and Big, the whole stake.

Betting suggestions will be published from Tuesday to Saturday early in the morning.

Odds presented here are the ones available at Betfair and Bet365, so we suggest opening an account with them, because of the variety and type of bets, better odds and higher limits. Remember that you get great advantages by opening an account through the Academy. Just follow the link: «Win Academy Points».

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betting tips, horse racing, horse tips

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