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Betting suggestion:

In this great Rio de Janeiro derby, both teams take to the field aware that they need to deliver their best to reach the championship final. Flamengo has a comfortable scenario in this match given the advantage they hold in the tie and also due to the incredible form they are experiencing at the beginning of the season. Meanwhile, Fluminense needs to surpass expectations to achieve the result required to win this match by the necessary margin. We believe it will be an action-packed game and we'll bet on over 1.5 goals scored.
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Preview
Flamengo and Fluminense meet at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, in a 2nd leg match for the Carioca 1 (Championship ‑ Semi‑finals). Flamengo got an away win by (0‑2) in the previous 1st leg match. The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 23 head‑to‑heads they won 11, tied 7 and lost 5. Accordingly, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Carioca 1, on 10‑03‑2024, Flamengo won by (0‑2). Pedro (90' ) and Everton (45' ) scored the goals of the match for Flamengo. Fluminense registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.

Analysis Flamengo

This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 22 goals scored and 8 conceded; against 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses at their stadium, with 27 goals scored and 8 conceded. Flamengo registers 6 wins in the last 6 home matches for the Carioca 1.

They have won the last 6 home matches and haven't lost any of the last 12 matches for this competition. Defensive consistency has been one of their best features, as they haven’t conceded any goals in the last 10 matches, and their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that likes to score first. They have opened up the score in 9 of the last 12 matches for the Carioca 1, they have reached half‑time in front in 7 of those 9 matches and have always held on to the lead until the end of the 90'. In the last 20 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 5 of their 12 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

The Flamengo wants to start the year with the Rio de Janeiro state championship title, and in this semifinal, the team managed to open up a significant advantage, making the spot in the final very close. The team, champions of the Taça Guanabara undefeated and conceding only one goal, arrives with the status of the best team in the country currently, given the results they have been achieving under the command of coach Tite and also due to the quality of the squad. In the first leg of the tie, the convincing victory by (0-2) showed that Flamengo is indeed the favorite for the title of the competition, and in this match, the expectation is that the team will secure another victory.

Confirmed Lineup: Agustín Rossi, Léo Pereira, Fabrício Bruno, Guillermo Varela, Ayrton Lucas , Erick Pulgar , Giorgian de Arrascaeta , Nicolás de la Cruz, Everton, Pedro, Luiz Araújo.
Coach: F. Kasmirski.

Analysis Fluminense

This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 10 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 29 goals scored and 20 conceded. In the last 5 Carioca 1 away matches Fluminense has a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 12 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 20 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 7 of their 19 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Fluminense needs to put on a great performance to have a chance of qualifying for the final of the championship. The team lost the first leg by (0-2) and needs to win by at least three goals to secure qualification for the final, as Flamengo holds the advantage of a draw. This is a match where Fluminense cannot afford any mistakes, as a goal from the opponent could definitively decide the spot. With little attacking presence in the previous match, Fluminense needs to adopt an efficient strategy aiming to effectively attack Flamengo, score goals, and achieve a heroic qualification for the grand final.

Confirmed Lineup: Fábio, Manoel, Marcelo, Martinelli , Renato Augusto , André, Lima, John Kennedy, Keno, Jhon Arias, Marquinhos.
Coach: F. Diniz Silva.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Flamengo vs Fluminense match, on 17 March 2024, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy UK, goes to: Over 1,5 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Flamengo vs Fluminense on 17 March 2024 will be played at Rio de Janeiro, Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy UK, for the Flamengo Fluminense match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Flamengo at with 72% of the tips.

 

Carioca 1 - 2024

  • 100% 78 / 78 Games

  • Home team wins 50%
  • Draws 23.08%
  • Away team wins 26.92%
  • Over 1.5 73.08%
  • Over 2.5 46.15%
  • Over 3.5 24.36%
  • Goals 200
  • Goals /match 2.56
  • Goals /match home 1.47
  • Goals /match away 1.09
  • Both teams score 41.03%
  • Goals after 80' 27%
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