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Grêmio Athletico Paranaense betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This will be a match between two teams that are having a similar campaign. Gremio is just 2 points behind Atletico-PR, but they aren't having a good campaign in this second half. Atletico-PR heads into this match after a win, but they have a terrible campaign playing away from home. However, these are two teams that are having weak offensive performances in their last outings, so it is a good option to bet on the under.
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Preview
Grêmio and Atlético PR meet at Arena do Grêmio, in a match for the 30th round of the Serie A. Atlético PR got a home win by (2‑0), in the last league head‑to‑head, played in 26‑06‑2016. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 5 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 21‑09‑2016, in a match for the Copa do Brasil, Grêmio won by (4‑3), after a penalti shootout. The only goal of the match was scored by André Lima (30' ). Although this is a match between 7th and 6th of the league table, it’s actually a match between the 6th best in home matches and the 17th best in away matches.

Analysis Grêmio

The home team is currently in the 7th position of the league, with 43 points won, after 12 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Cruzeiro, by (1‑0). In the last match, they won in an away match against Vitória, by (0‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 13 points in away matches, with 16 goals scored and 26 conceded, against 30 points won at their stadium, with 18 goals scored and 7 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches Grêmio has a record of 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, so they have won 18 points out of 30 possible. There are a few recurrent results in their home league matches at half‑time: 1‑0 (5 out of 14 matches) and 0‑0 (6 out of 14 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. 10 of their last 14 matches for this competition have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. They have conceded the first goal in 10 of their 29 matches for this competition, and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 14 home matches for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they have conceded 3 of their 7 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Gremio will play at home once again, trying to have a streak of positive results, as they mostly alternate between wins and losses, without being able to be consistent. In the previous round, they had a positive result after a 1-0 away win against Vitoria. Before that, they had a 1-0 loss away from home. They have just 2 wins in their last 10 matches. With these results, they dropped to 8th place, but still very close to the top 6. For this match, coach Renato Gaucho should use a 4-5-1 formation, with Luan as their forward, returning from a suspension.

Confirmed Lineup: Bruno Grassi, Edílson, Marcelo Oliveira, Pedro Geromel, Walter Kannemann, Walace, Ramiro, Douglas, Maicon, Pedro Rocha, Luan.
Coach: V. Carmo Mancini.

Analysis Paranaense

The away team is currently in the 6th position of the league, with 45 points won, after 14 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Santos, by (2‑0). In the last match, they won in a home match against Chapecoense, by (3‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 7 points in away matches and 38 points at their stadium, with 22 goals scored and 6 goals conceded at home, against 8 goals scored and 20 conceded in away matches. In the last 10 away league matches Atlético PR has a record of 1 win, 1 draw and 8 losses, so they have won 4 points out of 30 possible.

In this competition, they have a sequence of 6 losses in the last away matches. In their away matches there are a few frequent results: at half‑time 1‑0 (8 out of 14 matches) and 0‑0 (5 out of 14 matches) and after the 90' 1‑0 (6 out of 14 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away matches there is a tendency for goals, since 7 of the last 14 matches for this competition have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. In 29 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 16 times and have only turned the score around in 3. In the last 14 away matches for this competition there are 2 periods that stand out: they have scored 3 of their 8 goals between minutes (61'‑75') and 3 of their 8 goals between (76'‑90').

Atletico-PR heads into this match trying to earn points away from home, something that hasn't happened in the last 4 months, when they faced Chapecoense and had a 0-0 draw. They managed to improve their performances in the last couple of matches, but they are still not having a good campaign. In the previous round, they had a 3-1 home win against Chapecoense, maintaining their great home performances. Before that they had a 2-0 away loss against Santos. They are doing their homework, but away from home they are having a terrible performance. Now, they are in 6th place and should use a 4-5-1 formation in this match.

Confirmed Lineup: Weverton, Léo, Renan Lodi, Paulo André, Thiago Heleno, Otávio, Hernani, Marcos Guilherme, Matheus Rossetto, Pablo Felipe.
Coach: L. González, L. Scolari.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Grêmio vs Paranaense match, on 14 October 2016, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy UK, goes to: Under 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Grêmio vs Paranaense on 14 October 2016 will be played at Rio, Arena do Grêmio.

 

Serie A - 2016

  • 100% 379 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 53.3%
  • Draws 24.8%
  • Away team wins 21.9%
  • Over 1.5 65.96%
  • Over 2.5 43.8%
  • Over 3.5 21.9%
  • Goals 912
  • Goals /match 2.41
  • Goals /match home 1.49
  • Goals /match away 0.92
  • Both teams score 45.65%
  • Goals after 80' 17.65%
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