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ADO Den Haag Cambuur betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This will be a direct clash in the fight for direct promotion and the runner-up spot in the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie, provided that Excelsior fails to win in this round. In addition, it will be a duel between two of the best defenses in the league. ADO has the third lowest number of goals conceded, while Cambuur has the second best defense and also leads the clean sheets ranking. Considering this, we will bet on Under 3.0 Asian Goals, a bet that has only been lost in 3 of the 18 games played at ADO's stadium and in 7 of the 18 matches played by Cambuur.
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Preview
ADO and Cambuur face at Cars Jeans Stadion, in a match for the 37th round of the Eerste Divisie. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 07‑12‑2024, SC Cambuur got a home win by (2‑1). In 4 head‑to‑heads in the last 3 years, the away team won 3 and lost 1.

Analysis ADO

The home team is currently in the 3rd position of the league, with 67 points won, after 19 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Jong PSV, by (3‑2). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Roda JC Kerkrade, by (1‑1). In the last 10 home league matches ADO has a record of 9 wins and 1 loss, so they have won 27 points out of 30 possible. The most recurrent result at half‑time in their home league matches was the 1‑0 (8 out of 18 matches). They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 16 of the last 18 matches for this competition have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 36 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have only turned the score around in 1.

ADO still has a chance of being runner-up in the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie, but it will depend above all on Excelsior losing points in the round. A defeat, however, will take away any chance of direct promotion for ADO. The team is undefeated in 6 rounds (3 wins and 3 draws recorded in the period) and specifically at its stadium, it has won 10 of the last 11 matches played (only 1 game lost in this positive phase). ADO has the third best defense in the league (41 goals conceded in total and an average of 1.13 goals conceded per round). Bosnian coach Darije Kalezic will have to change the previous starting lineup, based on the 4-2-3-1 tactical scheme, as Belgian defender Matteo Waem will be available again after serving an automatic suspension. The tendency is for him to take the place of Finnish player Taneli Hämäläinen. The players still missing are left winger Lorenzo Maasland, injured since 14-02-2025, and Austrian striker Luka Reischl, who suffered a fractured collarbone on 02-03-2025. The star of the ADO squad is Kilian Nikièma, from Burkina Faso, the goalkeeper who conceded the fewest goals in the competition (a rate of 0.93 goals conceded per game, having conceded 28 goals in 30 appearances), but also noteworthy is attacking midfielder Alex Schalk, the second highest scorer in this Eerste Divisie (average of 3.5 shots per game played).

Confirmed Lineup: Kilian Nikiema, Diogo Tomas, Steven van der Sloot, Sekou Sylla, Matteo Waem, Jari Vlak, Juho Kilo, Alex Schalk, Lee Bonis, Daryl van Mieghem, Evan Rottier.
Coach: R. Brood.

Analysis Cambuur

The away team is currently in the 5th position of the league, with 62 points won, after 20 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Helmond Sport, by (1‑1). In the last match, they won in a home match against Vitesse, by (2‑1). In the last 10 away league matches Cambuur has a record of 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 15 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In 36 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 16 times and have only turned the score around in 3.

Cambuur has a remote chance of being runner-up and securing a direct spot in the next season of the Eredivisie, but they will need to win their remaining 2 games and hope that Excelsior loses to still try to make up for the difference in goal difference. In any case, the team needs to at least seek the best possible classification for the access playoffs. Cambuur is undefeated in 3 rounds in the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie (2 matches won and 1 draw), but they have not managed to win in the 3 most recent matches they have played away from home (2 matches lost and 1 draw). Even so, the team has the second best campaign among visitors (61% success rate, having won 33 points in 18 matches) and has the third highest number of goals scored away from home (32 goals scored and a rate of 1.7 goals scored per match away from home). Overall, Cambuur has the second best defense in the league (39 goals conceded in total) and its defensive performance is practically the same when playing away from home (21 goals conceded and 1.1 goals conceded per away game). The third highest possession rate in the competition (55.3%) means the club is the second highest scorer (an average of 16.3 shots per game) and also the third highest scorer (5.6 shots per round). Defensively, it still holds the record for clean sheets (it finished without conceding a goal in 14 games). Coach Henk de Jong will need to change the previous starting lineup, based on the 4-3-3 tactical scheme, as midfielder Matthias Nartey will serve an automatic suspension for accumulating 5 yellow cards. The tendency is for Norwegian Sturla Ottesen to be his replacement again. The highlights of the Cambuur squad are Thijs Jansen, the goalkeeper with the record number of clean sheets (14 in 35 appearances), and striker Remco Balk, the championship's second-highest scorer (who scored 17 goals in 35 games, as well as 2 assists).

Confirmed Lineup: Thijs Jansen, Tomas Galvez, Tyrique Mercera, Floris Smand, Bryant Nieling, Tony Rölke, Mark Diemers, Maikel Kieftenbeld, Nicky Souren, Benjamin Pauwels, R. Balk.
Coach: H. de Jong.

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NOTE: Statistical values limited to the matches in our database.
Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the ADO vs Cambuur match, on 2 May 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy UK, goes to: Handicap, Under 3 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The ADO vs Cambuur on 2 May 2025 will be played at Den Haag, Cars Jeans Stadion.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2024/2025

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 45.79%
  • Draws 23.16%
  • Away team wins 31.05%
  • Over 1.5 80.26%
  • Over 2.5 59.74%
  • Over 3.5 38.16%
  • Goals 1146
  • Goals /match 3.02
  • Goals /match home 1.7
  • Goals /match away 1.32
  • Both teams score 53.95%
  • Goals after 80' 17.89%
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