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Ajax II Helmond Sport betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

This game could be considered a friendly as the clubs have no goals in the final stretch of the Eerste Divisie 2024/2025. Jong Ajax have been winless for 8 games, while Helmond have failed to win in their last 6 games. We'll bet on Under 3.0 Asian Goals as it's been a losing entry in just 3 of the 17 games played at Jong Ajax's stadium. In the last head-to-head between the teams, which took place on 04-10-2024, there was a 1-1 draw at Helmond's home.
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Preview
Ajax and Helmond meet at Sportpark De Toekomst, in a match for the 36th round of the Eerste Divisie. These teams have tied (1‑1) in the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 04‑10‑2024. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history indicates total balance between these two teams, since there is a record of 2 draws and 1 win for each team in the last 4 matches. However, the last time these teams met at this stadium was on 27‑11‑2023, in a match for the Eerste Divisie, Jong Ajax won by (4‑1). The goals of the match were scored by Stanis Idumbo Muzambo (89' ), Mika Godts (59' ) and Jaydon Banel (90' and 47' ), for Ajax, and by Martijn Kaars (21' ), for Helmond. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis Ajax

The home team is currently in the 17th position of the league, with 32 points won, after 8 wins, 8 draws and 19 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Vitesse, by (1‑1). In the last match, they lost in an away match against De Graafschap, by (2‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 2 draws and 12 losses in away matches, with 11 goals scored and 32 conceded; against 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 18 goals scored and 15 conceded. In the last 10 home league matches Ajax has a record of 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 17 points out of 30 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches for this competition there is a tendency for few goals, since 11 of the last 17 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals. They have conceded the first goal in 17 of their 35 matches for this competition, and have only turned the score around in 1.

Jong Ajax is a reserve team that plays in the Eerste Divisie purely to give experience to young players who are being groomed for Ajax's main squad for the Eredivisie and other elite competitions. Even so, it's shameful for the club that they haven't won for 8 games in the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie (1 draw and 7 defeats recorded in the period). Specifically at their home stadium, Jong Ajax have not won for 5 games (2 draws and 3 defeats in a row at home). Jong Ajax have the third worst attack in the league (36 goals scored) and are also the team with the third fewest fouls (10.7 fouls committed per matchday). Coach Frank Peereboom will have to make changes to his starting line-up, based on a 4-2-3-1 tactical formation, as left-back Lucas Jetten is back after serving a suspension and should take the place occupied by Ethan Butera in the last match. The only absentee is midfielder Nassef Chourak, who has been out injured since 28-02-2025. The highlight of the Jong Ajax squad is Polish left winger Jan Faberski (4 goals and 3 assists in 31 games). Englishman Charlie Setford is also expected to return to the starting line-up in place of Paul Reverson, as he is the goalkeeper with the most saves in the league (average of exactly 5 saves per appearance).

Confirmed Lineup: C. Setford, Dies Janse, Lucas Jetten, Nick Verschuren, Sean Steur, Rayane Bounida, Mark Thomas Willem Verkuijl, Avery Appiah, Jan Faberski, Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu, Kayden Wolff.
Coach: J. Heitinga.

Analysis Helmond

The away team is currently in the 11th position of the league, with 46 points won, after 12 wins, 10 draws and 13 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against VVV‑Venlo, by (4‑1). In the last match, they tied in a home match against SC Cambuur, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 19 goals scored and 36 conceded; against 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses at their stadium, with 24 goals scored and 19 conceded. In the last 10 away league matches Helmond has a record of 3 draws and 7 losses, so they have won 3 points out of 30 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 11 away matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 13 of the last 17 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 35 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

Helmond are only playing their part in this final stretch of the Eerste Divisie, as they no longer have a chance of qualifying for the playoffs. Elimination came with their current poor run of six games without a win (four draws and two losses in that period). In terms of away games, Helmond have failed to win in 11 matches (3 draws and 8 defeats in their most recent away games). In fact, they have the third worst defense among the league's visitors (35 goals conceded in 17 games) and are generally the third worst tacklers in the league (16.1 tackles per game). To compensate, Helmond is the third most fouled club in the competition (average of 14.1 fouls per game). Even so, they have the third worst clean sheet record (they've finished without conceding a goal in just 7 matches). Coach Robert Maaskant could change his starting line-up, based on a 4-3-3 tactical formation, depending on whether the club's medical department will clear Moroccan defender Redouane Halhal, who came off injured during the second half of the last match. If he is ruled out by the doctors, the tendency is for German Tobias Pachonik to replace him. Right-back Sem Dekkers has been injured since March 14, 2025. The highlight of Helmond's squad is striker Anthony van den Hurk, a native of Curaçao (15 goals and 3 assists in 32 games).

Confirmed Lineup: Wouter Van der Steen, Flor Van Den Eynden, Jonas Scholz, Tobias Pachonik, Amir Absalem, E. Ostrc, Alen Dizdarević, Helgi Fróði Ingason, Anthony van der Hurk, Lennerd Daneels, Sam Bisselink.
Coach: R. Maaskant.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Ajax vs Helmond match, on 28 April 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy UK, goes to: Handicap, Under 3 goals ⇒ bet available on 1xbet.

The Ajax vs Helmond on 28 April 2025 will be played at Amsterdam, Sportpark De Toekomst.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2024/2025

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 45.79%
  • Draws 23.16%
  • Away team wins 31.05%
  • Over 1.5 80.26%
  • Over 2.5 59.74%
  • Over 3.5 38.16%
  • Goals 1146
  • Goals /match 3.02
  • Goals /match home 1.7
  • Goals /match away 1.32
  • Both teams score 53.95%
  • Goals after 80' 17.89%
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