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Excelsior Ajax II betting prediction


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In this matchup, Excelsior defends their top spot and seeks to avoid dropping points against a reserve team, as happened in their previous game. The home side boasts the best home record and one of the strongest attacks in the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie, aiming to overcome Jong Ajax, who have lost their last three away matches and failed to win in their last five. We will back Excelsior to score in both halves of the game, as this has occurred in five of their seven home matches, while Jong Ajax have conceded in both halves in four of their eight away fixtures in the competition.
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Preview
Excelsior and Ajax meet at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, in a match for the 17th round of the Eerste Divisie. The head‑to‑head history of the last 3 years favours the home team, since in the last 3 matches they won 3. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 11‑02‑2022, and ended in a (6‑2) win by Excelsior. Excelsior registers significant differences between home and away results, so the home/away factor is worth special attention.

Analysis Excelsior

After 10 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, the home team is in the 1st position, havinf won 32 points so far. In the last match, they have tied in an away match against Jong Utrecht by (0‑0), after in the previous match they have won (0‑3) an away match against FC Den Bosch. This is a team that is often stronger at home, with the help of its supporters, so they usually make good use of the home advantage, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in away matches; against 11 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses at their stadium. In the last 7 home league matches Excelsior has a record of 6 wins and 1 loss, so they have won 18 points out of 21 possible. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 14 of the last 21 have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 5 times, but have turned the score around in 2.

Excelsior defends the top spot in the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie, remaining unbeaten in five matches this season with four wins and one draw. In the league, they have played four games, securing three victories and one draw without conceding a goal. To maintain their position without relying on other results, they must win after dropping points against the second-to-last team. Excelsior boasts the best home record in the league (85% success rate with 18 points from 7 home matches) and has the third-best attack (35 goals in 16 rounds, averaging 2.1 goals per match). Specifically at home, they have the second-highest average of goals scored (2.7 goals per game, with 19 goals in 7 matches). Defensively, they rank third overall (18 goals conceded in 16 games, an average of 1.1 goals per match). Coach Ruben den Uil will rely on the club's medical department if he wishes to repeat the previous starting lineup, which followed a 4-2-3-1 tactical formation. Striker Jerolldino Bergraaf was injured in the first half of the last match and may be replaced by Mike van Duinen if unfit. American midfielder Zach Booth has been sidelined since a 12th-round injury on 26 October 2024, while defender Kik Pierie is recovering from a foot injury. The squad's standout player is goalkeeper Calvin Raatsie, second in the clean sheet rankings, having kept six clean sheets in 14 league appearances.

Confirmed Lineup: Calvin Raatsie, Casper Widell, Arthur Zagre, Ilias Bronkhorst, Django Warmerdam, Lennard Hartjes, Noah Naujoks, Lance Duijvestijn, Cedric Hatenboer, Jacky Donkor, Derensili Sanches Fernandes.
Coach: M. Dijkhuizen.

Analysis Ajax

The away team is currently in the 17th position of the league, with 15 points won, after 3 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Telstar, by (3‑0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against FC Volendam, by (3‑0). This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 27 conceded; against 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 18 goals scored and 16 conceded. In the last 8 away league matches Ajax has a record of 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 9 points out of 24 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 10 matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 0‑0 (3 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their away mathes there is a tendency for goals, since 6 of the last 8 matches for this competition have ended with Over 2,5 goals. In 16 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Jong Ajax is a reserve team competing in the Eerste Divisie with the sole purpose of providing experience to young players being groomed for the senior Ajax squad, which participates in the Eredivisie and other elite competitions. The team is known for allowing opponents a degree of freedom in play, reflected in their status as the second-least fouling team in the 2024/2025 Eerste Divisie, averaging 10.5 fouls per match. Jong Ajax has not won away from home in their last five matches, recording two draws and three losses in the most recent games. Coach Frank Peereboom will rely on the club’s medical department if he hopes to retain the same starting lineup, as right-winger Kayden Wolff was injured during the second half of the previous match. If unfit, David Kalokoh is likely to take his place again. One of the team's standout players is English goalkeeper Charlie Setford, ranked as the second-most active shot-stopper in the league, averaging 5.7 saves per game. Offensively, left-winger Jaydon Banel, the league’s second-most prolific shooter with 3.6 attempts per match, and striker Julian Rijkhoff, ranked third with an average of 1.4 shots on target per game, are the team’s main attacking threats.

Confirmed Lineup: Paul Peters Reverson, Lucas Jetten, Dies Janse, Nick Verschuren, Diyae-Edinne Jermoumi, Mark Thomas Willem Verkuijl, Julian Christiaan Brandes, Sean Steur, Jan Faberski, Julian Rijkhoff, Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu.
Coach: J. Heitinga.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Excelsior vs Ajax match, on 29 November 2024, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy UK, goes to: Excelsior to score in Both Halves ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Excelsior vs Ajax on 29 November 2024 will be played at Rotterdam, Van Donge & De Roo Stadion.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2024/2025

  • 100% 380 / 380 Games

  • Home team wins 45.79%
  • Draws 23.16%
  • Away team wins 31.05%
  • Over 1.5 80.26%
  • Over 2.5 59.74%
  • Over 3.5 38.16%
  • Goals 1146
  • Goals /match 3.02
  • Goals /match home 1.7
  • Goals /match away 1.32
  • Both teams score 53.95%
  • Goals after 80' 17.89%
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