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MVV Ajax II betting prediction



Betting suggestion:

MVV will try to return to winning ways in front of their supporters and will host Jong Ajax, the worst away team in the 2025-2026 Eerste Divisie. There is an interesting streak at stake: MVV has won the last 4 home games against Jong Ajax. Considering this record and the fact that Jong Ajax has lost 7 of their 9 away matches, we will back MVV to win the game.
 
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Preview
MVV and Ajax meet at De Geusselt, in a match for the 20th round of the Eerste Divisie. These teams have tied (0‑0) in the last head‑to‑head for this edition of the league, played on 29‑08‑2025. At this stadium, the head‑to‑head history favours the home team, since they have a record of 4 wins in the last 4 matches. Sure enough, the last time these teams met at this stadium, on 02‑05‑2025, in a match for the Eerste Divisie, MVV Maastricht won by (1‑0). The only goal of the match was scored by Robert Klaasen (90' ). In this match the home advantage may play an important role, as both teams present significant differences between home and away performances.

Analysis MVV

After 5 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses, the home team is in the 18th position, havinf won 19 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Helmond Sport by (2‑4), after in the previous match they have tied (0‑0) at home, against Roda JC Kerkrade. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses in away matches, with 11 goals scored and 27 conceded; against 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 losses at their stadium, with 24 goals scored and 20 conceded. In the last 9 home league matches MVV has a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses, so they have won 10 points out of 27 possible. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 4 of the last 9 for this competition have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. In 19 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 9 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

The victory in the last round ended a sequence of 7 winless matches that had been troubling MVV’s supporters (2 draws and 5 defeats in the period). Specifically at home, however, the team has not won in the last 3 matches (2 defeats and 1 recent draw). The third-worst ball possession in the 2025-2026 Eerste Divisie (44.5%) makes the team the worst finisher (an average of 11.5 shots per match) and the third-lowest in shots on target (an average of 4.2 per game). To compensate, MVV is the third-highest tackler in the league (an average of 18.3 per match). Coach Peter van den Berg may repeat the previous starting lineup, based on the 4-4-2 tactical system, if he continues without Belgian centre-back Ilias Breugelmans and Moroccan right winger Camil Mmaee, both injured. The standout player in MVV’s squad is midfielder Robert Klaasen (author of 2 assists in 19 appearances).
 

Confirmed Lineup: Sem Westerveld, Adam Zaian, Finn Dicke, Lenn-Minh Tran, Djairo Tehubijuluw, Amine Amgar, Stan Van Dessel, Marko Kleinen, Sven Braken , Luca Foubert, Thijme Verheijen.
Coach: K. Wels.

Analysis Ajax

The away team is currently in the 19th position of the league, with 12 points won, after 2 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses. In the penultimate match, they won in a home match against Vitesse, by (2‑0). In the last match, they lost in an away match against Almere City, by (3‑2). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 1 win, 2 draws and 12 losses in away matches, with 15 goals scored and 33 conceded; against 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 16 goals scored and 21 conceded. In the last 9 away league matches Ajax has a record of 2 draws and 7 losses, so they have won 2 points out of 27 possible.

In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 9 away matches. In their away league matches the most frequent result at half‑time was the 1‑0 (5 out of 9 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that has had a hard time trying to score first. They have opened up the score in only 4 of the last 19 matches for the Eerste Divisie, they have reached half‑time in front in 3 of those 4 matches and have held on to the lead in 2. In 19 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 13 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Jong Ajax is a reserve team that plays in the Eerste Divisie solely to prepare young players for Ajax’s first team. Even so, it is embarrassing for the team to have lost 3 of the last 4 games (only 1 win in the period). Specifically away from home, they have suffered 3 consecutive defeats and have yet to win this season (2 draws and 7 defeats). Naturally, Jong Ajax is the worst away team in the 2025-2026 Eerste Divisie (2 points earned in 9 matches) and has the worst defence in the competition (38 goals conceded), being the third-worst among away teams (22 goals conceded on the road). Coach Willem Weijs may repeat the previous starting lineup, based on the 4-2-3-1 tactical system, if midfielder Nassef Chourak recovers from the injury suffered in the final minutes of the last game. If he is unavailable, the Moroccan Abdellah Ouazana is likely to replace him again. The standout player in Jong Ajax’s squad is Joeri Heerkens, the second goalkeeper with the most saves in the league (an average of 4.6 saves per match).
 

Confirmed Lineup: P. Reverson, Jinairo Johnson, E. Butera, Mylo van der Lans, A. Appiah, Abdellah Ouazane, N. Chourak, Tijn Peters, Don O'Niel, S. Vink, Emre Ünüvar.
Coach: J. Heitinga.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the MVV vs Ajax match, on 12 December 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy UK, goes to: MVV wins ⇒ bet available on Bet365.

The MVV vs Ajax on 12 December 2025 will be played at Maastricht, De Geusselt.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy UK, for the MVV Ajax match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by MVV at Bet365 with 100% of the tips.

 

Eerste Divisie - 2025/2026

  • 52% 204 / 396 Games

  • Home team wins 43.63%
  • Draws 19.61%
  • Away team wins 36.76%
  • Over 1.5 81.37%
  • Over 2.5 64.22%
  • Over 3.5 46.08%
  • Goals 672
  • Goals /match 3.29
  • Goals /match home 1.8
  • Goals /match away 1.49
  • Both teams score 61.76%
  • Goals after 80' 19.35%
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