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Nacional Cerro Porteño betting prediction


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Betting suggestion:

In the clash between Nacional Asunción and Cerro Porteño, both teams are close in the table and tend to alternate between good and bad spells. As the defences are not particularly solid and both sides need the result, the suggested bet for this match is that both teams will score.
 
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Preview
Nacional and Cerro Porteño face at Estadio Arsenio Erico, in a match for the 14th round of the Division Profesional. In the last league head‑to‑head, played in 01‑02‑2025, Cerro Porteño got a home win by (3‑1). The head‑to‑head history at this stadium, favours the home team, since in the last 6 head‑to‑heads they won 2, tied 3 and lost 1. Nevertheless, in the last head‑to‑head played at this stadium, for the Division Profesional, on 10‑11‑2024, they tied (2‑2). Orlando Gaona Lugo (2' ) and Juan Fernando Alfaro (43' ) scored for Nacional and Gabriel Aguayo (47' ) and Alexis Fariña (2' ) for Cerro Porteño. The home/away factor is worth special atention, since although this is a match between 7th and 6th of the league table, it’s also a match between the 4th best team in home matches and the 8th best in away matches.

Analysis Nacional

After 4 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses, the home team is in the 7th position, havinf won 14 points so far. In the last match, they have lost in an away match against Libertad by (1‑0), after in the previous match they have won (1‑0) at home, against 2 de Mayo. This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 4 points in away matches, with 4 goals scored and 9 conceded, against 10 points won at their stadium, with 5 goals scored and 6 conceded. For the league, Nacional won 10 points out of 18 possible points, after 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last 6 home matches.

In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 4 home matches. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, since 12 of the last 26 have ended ended with Under 1,5 goals. In 13 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have never been able to turn the score around.

Nacional Asunción currently sit 8th in the table with 14 points collected so far. The team has struggled in their performances, particularly away from home, and their mid-table position reflects a fragile defence that has already conceded 15 goals. A victory is crucial for the side to improve their standing and close the gap on the teams in the upper half of the table.
 

Analysis Cerro Porteño

The away team is currently in the 6th position of the league, with 18 points won, after 5 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Libertad, by (1‑0). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Sportivo Luqueño, by (0‑0). This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, since they have won 5 points in away matches and 13 points at their stadium, with 10 goals scored and 5 goals conceded at home, against 4 goals scored and 6 conceded in away matches. In the last 6 away league matches Cerro Porteño has a record of 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses, so they have won 5 points out of 18 possible. In 13 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 6 times and have only turned the score around in 1. In the last 20 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 7 of their 19 goals between minutes (31'‑45').

Cerro Porteño, with the same points as their opponent, 19, occupy a mid-table position and have shown more consistency compared to Nacional Asunción. The team has been efficient but has some defensive gaps that need addressing in order to secure victory, particularly away from home. Cerro Porteño will aim to recover from some recent setbacks and will fight to stay in the upper half of the table.
 
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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Nacional vs Cerro Porteño match, on 16 April 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy UK, goes to: Both teams score? Yes ⇒ bet available on Betfair.

The Nacional vs Cerro Porteño on 16 April 2025 will be played at Asuncion, Estadio Arsenio Erico.

 

Division Profesional - 2025

  • 93% 128 / 138 Games

  • Home team wins 32.81%
  • Draws 34.38%
  • Away team wins 32.81%
  • Over 1.5 65.63%
  • Over 2.5 38.28%
  • Over 3.5 17.97%
  • Goals 284
  • Goals /match 2.22
  • Goals /match home 1.08
  • Goals /match away 1.14
  • Both teams score 52.34%
  • Goals after 80' 18.66%
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