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Vitória Guimarães AVS betting prediction
 Guimarães |
|  AVS |
Betting suggestion:
Vitória SC secured a 1-0 win away at Tondela and then continued their good run by thrashing Mortágua in the Portuguese Cup. The international break may have done the Viriato side some good, and now, back at home where they are usually strong, they have every chance to stay on the path of victory.
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Preview
Guimarães and AVS meet at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, in a match for the 12th round of the Primeira Liga. There are only 2 recent head‑to‑heads between these two teams: on 01‑02‑2025, which ended in a (2‑0) win by Vitória SC, and another on 25‑08‑2024, which ended in a (1‑0) win by AVS. In this match the home advantage may play an important role, since AVS presents significant differences between home and away performances.
Analysis Guimarães
After 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, the home team is in the 8th position, havinf won 14 points so far. In the last match, they have won in an away match against Tondela by (0‑1), after in the previous match they have lost (0‑3) at home, against Benfica. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in away matches, with 14 goals scored and 18 conceded; against 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses at their stadium, with 22 goals scored and 17 conceded. They come to this match after a home win against Mortágua by (4‑0). For the league, Guimarães won 8 points out of 15 possible points, after 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 5 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches for this competition. In their home matches there is a tendency for goals, since 18 of the last 20 matches have ended with Over 1,5 goals. In 11 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 8 times and have only turned the score around in 2.
Vitória SC are having a rather modest season, falling short of the objectives set by the club’s management for this campaign. Nevertheless, Luís Pinto remains at the helm, something quite unusual at a club like Vitória SC, where managers are rarely given much time to build and implement their ideas. Perhaps last week’s victory helped calm tensions, as the side had come off the back of two consecutive defeats and were already in a tricky situation. Just 2 points behind Sporting Braga, who sit 8th, the Viriato team are fully focused on beating AFS in order to move closer to the positions they so ambitiously target.
Confirmed Lineup: Juan Castillo, Maga, Rodrigo Abascal, João Mendes, Óscar Rivas, Beni, Gonçalo Nogueira, Noah Jose Saviolo, Nélson Oliveira, Telmo Arcanjo, Oumar Camara.
Coach: Moreno.
Analysis AVS
The away team is currently in the 18th position of the league, with 3 points won, after 3 draws and 8 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in a home match against Tondela, by (2‑2). In the last match, they tied in a home match against Gil Vicente, by (1‑1). This is a team that usually gets better results in away matches than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 18 goals scored and 34 conceded; against 1 win, 5 draws and 9 losses at their stadium, with 12 goals scored and 26 conceded. In their last match, for the Taça de Portugal, they got a home win against Academico Viseu by (7‑6), after a penalty shootout. In the last 5 away league matches AVS has a record of 1 draw and 4 losses, so they have won 1 point out of 15 possible.
In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 11 matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that has had problems scoring first, since they have only opened up the score once in the last 11 matches for the Primeira Liga. In 11 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 19 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 8 of their 21 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
AFS remain at the bottom end of the league table with just 3 points. Despite all the difficulties and a change in management, the truth is that 2 of those 3 points were earned in the last two rounds. A draw at home against Tondela, followed by another draw against a higher-level side in Gil Vicente, may have only yielded a point each time, but it sent positive signals from AFS ahead of this clash in Guimarães.
In this competition, they haven’t won any of the last 11 matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. This is a team that has had problems scoring first, since they have only opened up the score once in the last 11 matches for the Primeira Liga. In 11 matches for this competition, they have conceded the first goal 10 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 19 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 8 of their 21 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
AFS remain at the bottom end of the league table with just 3 points. Despite all the difficulties and a change in management, the truth is that 2 of those 3 points were earned in the last two rounds. A draw at home against Tondela, followed by another draw against a higher-level side in Gil Vicente, may have only yielded a point each time, but it sent positive signals from AFS ahead of this clash in Guimarães.
Confirmed Lineup: João Gonçalves, Cristian David Castro Devenish, Sidi Bane, Christian Neiva Afonso, Rúben Semedo, Diogo Spencer, Gustavo Henrique Giordano Amaro Assunção da Silva, Jaume Grau Ciscar, Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola, Óscar Perea, Ânderson Miguel da Silva.
Coach: J. Costa Almeida.
Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga - 2025/2026
- 35% 107 / 307 Games
- Home team wins 35.51%
- Draws 26.17%
- Away team wins 38.32%
- Over 1.5 80.37%
- Over 2.5 51.4%
- Over 3.5 25.23%
- Goals 285
- Goals /match 2.66
- Goals /match home 1.38
- Goals /match away 1.28
- Both teams score 44.86%
- Goals after 80' 18.6%
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