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Vélez Sarsfield Olimpia betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

In this game, we believe that “Under 2.5 goals” is likely to occur, due to Olimpia’s defensive posture away from home and the fact that Vélez has not scored many goals in recent rounds, in addition to the importance of not exposing themselves in a decisive clash. The scenario should be a tight game, with little space and defenses prevailing most of the time.
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Preview
Vélez and Olimpia face at Estadio José Amalfitani, in a match for this stage of the CONMEBOL Libertadores (Group Stage).

Analysis Vélez

After 2 wins and 1 loss, the home team is currently in the 1st position, with 6 points won. In the last match, they have lost (2‑1) in an away match against San Antonio Bulo Bulo, after in the previous round they have won (0‑4) in an away match against Olimpia. They come to this match after a away loss against River Plate by (4‑1). Vélez has won 4, tied 1 and lost 5 of the last 10 home matches. They haven't been very strong defensively, since they have suffered goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored frequently, since they have scored goals in 8 of the last 10 matches. 21 of their last 25 matches have ended with Under 2,5 goals, so there is a tendency for few goals in their home matches. They have conceded the first goal in 8 of their 15 matches, and have only turned the score around in 2. In the last 20 home matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 8 of their 18 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Vélez Sarsfield hosts Olimpia in the 4th round of the CONMEBOL Libertadores group stage, looking to confirm its favoritism as the home team and take an important step towards qualifying. The Argentine team, despite currently occupying third place in the group with three points, has been showing collective improvement. Its coach prioritizes a balanced approach between solid defense and quick offensive transitions, usually using schemes such as 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1, which allow the team to control the midfield and activate the forwards at speed. The last match ended in a draw, a result that left Vélez under pressure to score points in this round, especially in front of its fans. On the national scene, Vélez has had an average performance, but maintains its tradition of being competitive at home. The expectation is for a team looking to take the lead, pressuring the opponent from the start and mainly exploiting the flanks of the field to create goal situations.

Confirmed Lineup: Tomás Marchiori, Elías Gómez, Emanuel Mammana, Jano Gordon, Diego Valentín Gómez, Claudio Baeza, Agustín Bouzat, Christian Nahuel Ordoñez, Braian Romero, Maher Mauricio Carrizo, Francisco Pizzini.
Coach: G. Quinteros Desábato.

Analysis Olimpia

The away team is currently in the 4th position, with 1 point won, after 1 draw and 2 losses. In the penultimate round, they have lost a home match agaisnt Vélez Sarsfield by (0‑4). In the last round, they have tied a home match against Peñarol by (0‑0). In their last match, for the Division Profesional, they got an away win against Cerro Porteño by (1‑2). In the last 10 away matches Olimpia has won 3, tied 4 and lost 3. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 7 of the last 10 matches. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and have only turned the score around in 2.

Olimpia come for this match needing a positive result to stay alive in the competition, currently occupying fourth place in the group without victories so far. Led by a coach who prioritizes defensive balance, the Paraguayan team usually plays reactively, waiting for the opponent to make mistakes and looking to exploit counterattacks. The scheme usually used is 4-4-2, providing greater protection to the defensive system, but limiting offensive creativity. In recent games, Olimpia has performed below expectations, especially away from home, where it has struggled to maintain possession of the ball and create clear chances. The last result was a defeat that exposed the team's limitations, especially in transition and defensive organization. In the Paraguayan championship, the team is also experiencing a period of fluctuation, which increases the pressure on the squad even more. For this match, the expectation is for a cautious approach, seeking at least a draw to continue with a mathematical chance of qualifying.

Confirmed Lineup: Gastón Olveira, Robert Rojas, César Ramón Olmedo Alcaraz, Facundo Zavala, Axel Alfonzo, Lisandro López, Richard Ortiz, Javier Dominguez, Rodney Redes, Hugo Adrián Benítez Sánchez, Ivan Leguizamon.
Coach: F. Arce Rolón.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Vélez vs Olimpia match, on 8 May 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy UK, goes to: Under 2,5 goals ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Vélez vs Olimpia on 8 May 2025 will be played at Buenos Aires, Estadio José Amalfitani.

 

CONMEBOL Libertadores - 2025

  • 97% 149 / 154 Games

  • Home team wins 48.99%
  • Draws 22.82%
  • Away team wins 28.19%
  • Over 1.5 67.79%
  • Over 2.5 42.95%
  • Over 3.5 23.49%
  • Goals 360
  • Goals /match 2.42
  • Goals /match home 1.43
  • Goals /match away 0.99
  • Both teams score 40.94%
  • Goals after 80' 19.17%
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