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Independiente Valle Mushuc Runa betting prediction


Betting suggestion:

With Independiente del Valle's typically strong home performance and high creative output, they're clear favorites. Mushuc Runa will likely struggle to break out of their own half, which could translate into dominance for the home team. In this context, the best bet is an Independiente del Valle victory in the first half.
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Preview
Ind. del Valle and Mushuc Runa face , in a match for this stage of the CONMEBOL Sudamericana (Round of 16). The head‑to‑head history of the last 3 years favours the home team, since in the last 7 matches they won 4, tied 1 and lost 2. The last head‑to‑head between these two teams was played on 23‑05‑2025, and ended in a (2‑1) win by Independiente del Valle. Mushuc Runa registers significant differences between home and away results, so special attention is due to the home/away factor.

Analysis Ind. del Valle

The home team comes to this stage of the CONMEBOL Sudamericana (Round of 16) after having eliminated Vasco da Gama with a away draw by (1‑1) and a home win by (4‑0) in the previous round. This is a team that usually maintains its competitive level in home and away matches, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in away matches, with 26 goals scored and 17 conceded; against 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss at their stadium, with 26 goals scored and 12 conceded. In their last match, for the Liga Pro, they got an away tie against Manta by (0‑0). In the last 10 home matches Ind. del Valle has won 6, tied 3 and lost 1. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches. They have been able to score first and have done so in 12 of the last 15 matches, they have reached half‑time in advantage in 9 of those 12 matches and have held on to the lead until the end of the 90' in 7 of them.

Independiente del Valle begins its series against Mushuc Runa with the clear mission of leveraging its home advantage to build a significant advantage. Known for its intense style of play and quality passing, the Ecuadorian team should take the lead and pressure its opponent from the start. The constant movement of its players and high marking can create an offensive volume capable of generating numerous opportunities throughout the 90 minutes. The goal is to open the scoring early to manage the match more calmly.

Confirmed Lineup: Guido Villar, Gustavo Cortez, Mateo Carabajal, Matías Fernández, Richard Schunke, Darwin Guagua, Juan Cazares, Patrik Mercado, Jordy Alcívar, Aron Rodríguez, Claudio Spinelli.
Coach: J. Gandolfi.

Analysis Mushuc Runa

This is a team that usually makes good use of the home advantage, stronger with the help of its supporters, since in the last 30 matches they register 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in away matches, with 13 goals scored and 20 conceded; against 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses at their stadium, with 25 goals scored and 28 conceded. In their last match, for the Liga Pro, they got a home loss against Libertad by (1‑2). Their last away match was for the Liga Pro and ended in a loss by (2‑1) against LDU Quito. In the last 10 away matches Mushuc Runa has won 2, tied 1 and lost 7. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 7 matches for this competition. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 11 times and have never been able to turn the score around. In the last 20 away matches for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they have scored 8 of their 22 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Mushuc Runa comes into the match with the attitude of someone who knows they need to be tactically disciplined to survive the pressure. The team should adopt a more closed-off strategy, seeking to neutralize their opponent's main offensive weapons. Capitalizing on mistakes and finding counterattacks will be crucial to trying to surprise, as the goal will be to resist Independiente's attacks as much as possible. Familiarity with the opponent, as they share the same league, could be a factor in preparing for that match.

Confirmed Lineup: Rodrigo Formento, Kevin Peralta, Glendys Mina, Ángel Gracia, Dennys Quintero, Bryan Bentaberry, Stiven Tapiero, Joaquín Vergés, Nicolás Davila, Carlos Orejuela, Jonathan dos Santos.
Coach: A. Vélez Ordoñez.

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Frequently asked questions

The tip and bet suggestion for the Ind. del Valle vs Mushuc Runa match, on 13 August 2025, of the preview written by the editors of Betting Academy UK, goes to: Ind. del Valle wins at half time ⇒ bet available on bet365.

The Ind. del Valle vs Mushuc Runa on 13 August 2025 will be played at Cayambe, Estadio Banco Guayaquil.

The most voted bet by tipsters at Betting Academy UK, for the Ind. del Valle Mushuc Runa match, on the "match odds" market, was a win by Ind. del Valle at with 100% of the tips.

 

CONMEBOL Sudamericana - 2025

  • 99% 156 / 157 Games

  • Home team wins 48.08%
  • Draws 25.64%
  • Away team wins 26.28%
  • Over 1.5 69.23%
  • Over 2.5 43.59%
  • Over 3.5 25%
  • Goals 373
  • Goals /match 2.39
  • Goals /match home 1.43
  • Goals /match away 0.96
  • Both teams score 43.59%
  • Goals after 80' 20.64%
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