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Punter vs Trading

There are two main ways to make money with sports betting: Doing simple bets (Punter) or doing trading.

Here you'll find two videos (engish subtitles) to learn how to place your first bet and how to do your first trade on betfair website, and also to learn the main differences between simples bets and trading.

The home factor in Soccer

Analysis of the Portuguese, Spanish, English and Italian national leagues from 2000 to 2005. Analysis on the final score obtained by all the Portuguese champions on those seasons.

On average, teams win 63% of points at home. That is, from the total points won, 63% are obtained at home which is almost double of the points obtained away (37%).

Paulo Rebelo Trading Diary

A week in the life of Paulo Rebelo: "For seven days I committed to writing a diary of my life and my bets."
"I explained all the games I've worked this week and revealed how much I earned in each."

Trading tecnique: "Lay Under" on the first minutes of the match

The "Lay Under" technique is just another idea on how to take advantage of your reading of the match and your forecast about key match moments.

Profitability of a trade depending on the value of the odd

Did you know it is different to win a 1 tick trade of 1,01 to 1,02 than to win a 1 tick trade of 1.51 to 1.52?

By always trading to win only 1 tick, you will have different profits depending on the direction of the trade (raise or fall) and the odd (high or low) at which you opened the trade.

Useful formulas for Sports Betting Trading

There are some useful formulas than a trader should know, if for no other reason, to demystify a little the Sports Betting Trading world. There is no secret to winning money with odd variations and it´s not a dark science.

Football Trading: Set Pieces

Set pieces can be a gold mine for the prepared trader.

The study of the duel and of both teams will guarantee your profit.

Plain strategies with expected positive value

A plain strategy takes advantage of the imperfections of the market.
We call this technique "plain" because the used tactic is always the same for every match.
There are plain strategies in bets, but are they worth?

Short competitions / Season begin

In the absense of an history, the interpretation that is done during the game is the most important.

Trading pre-live periods

Prelive trading can be divided in two steps:
- Until one hour before the game starts the odds respect the correlations and we can predict its movement;
- In the hour that precedes the starting of the game there are an increase in liquidity and the movement of the odds are more determined by the market, its movement is also less predictable;
 
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